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Mike Barner

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*


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Use Code “LABWP50” at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 18

It’s important to know the intricacies of the NBA schedule to gain an advantage over your opponent in a head-to-head fantasy league as starting your best players might not always give you the best chance to win. Here are some moves you might want to consider for your team based on the week ahead.

Teams With The Most Games – 2 Games Each
Atlanta Hawks, Brooklyn Nets, Chicago Bulls, Denver Nuggets, Detroit Pistons, Golden State Warriors, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Lakers, Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks, Minnesota Timberwolves, New Orleans Pelicans, New York Knicks, Oklahoma City Thunder, Orlando Magic, Philadelphia 76ers, Phoenix Suns, Sacramento Kings, San Antonio Spurs, Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz

The NBA All-Star break comes this week, meaning no team will play more than two games. However, with 22 teams each playing two games, you might not need a lot of help this week filling out your roster. If you do, consider adding the players below who are still available in the majority of leagues.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 18

Dewayne Dedmon, Atlanta Hawks

Since returning from injury, Dedmon has mostly come off the bench for the Hawks. However, they decided to change things up Sunday and started Dedmon against the Pistons. He played 31 minutes as a result, finishing with 20 points, 13 rebounds, three steals and one block. The Hawks won the game and coach Mike Budenholzer said afterward that they would probably stick with the same starting lineup moving forward. That’s good news for Dedmon, especially since one of his two games this week comes against a Bucks team that struggles to defend centers and the other comes against the Pistons again. He’s still available in 62% of Yahoo! leagues and could give you a boost at center this week.

D.J. Augustin, Orlando Magic

The Magic traded Elfrid Payton to the Suns, opening up the starting point guard role for Augustin. He played 35 minutes in the Magic’s first game without Payton, scoring 18 points to go along with nine assists, two steals, and two three-pointers. However, he played just 23 minutes Saturday against the Bucks as Shelvin Mack had the hot hand, logging 28 minutes and posting a double-double. Augustin should continue to start going forward and will likely play closer to 30 minutes on a nightly basis. He gets to face two bad teams in the Bulls and Hornets this week, leaving him with upside. If you need help at point guard, he is still available in 69% of Yahoo! leagues.

Emmanuel Mudiay, New York Knicks

Mudiay thrived in his debut with the Knicks on Sunday, scoring 14 points to go along with 10 assists in 29 minutes. The Knicks are going nowhere with Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out for the season and have stated they want to give their young players an extended look moving forward. Starting point guard Jarrett Jack played only eight minutes Sunday and might not play much down the stretch. Mudiay is still available in 81% of Yahoo! leagues and is worth considering if you need help this week.

Teams With The Fewest Games – 1 Game Each
Boston Celtics, Charlotte Hornets, Cleveland Cavaliers, Dallas Mavericks, Indiana Pacers, Memphis Grizzlies, Portland Trail Blazers, Washington Wizards

Eight teams play only one game each this week, leaving their players with limited upside. As a result, consider benching the players below who you might otherwise have in your starting lineup.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 18

Jusuf Nurkic, Portland Trail Blazers

Nurkic left Sunday’s game against the Jazz and did not return due to lower back soreness and pain in his right hip. With only one game this week, it’s possible the Trail Blazers sit him so he gets extended rest over the break. Even if he does play, it’s not a good matchup against a Warriors team that likes to use a lot of small lineups. It’s not worth the risk starting him this week based on his limited potential.

Harrison Barnes, Dallas Mavericks

Barnes has been one of the best offensive players on the Mavericks this season, averaging 18.3 points and 1.4 three-pointers per game. The problem is, he provides very little production in terms of assists, steals and blocks and his 6.6 rebounds per game isn’t a difference maker either. Since he usually doesn’t provide much outside of scoring, it might not be a bad idea to sit him this week if you need help in other categories.

Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics

Tatum has been excellent for the Celtics this year, but his game doesn’t always translate to great fantasy production. He hasn’t excelled in any one area, averaging 13.6 points, 5.1 rebounds. 1.4 assists, 0.9 steals, 0.8 blocks and 1.3 three-pointers per game. Those types of numbers can be valuable on a week where he has extra games, but with only one game this week, the best decision might be to place him on your bench.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/9/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/9/18

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Use Code “LABWP50” at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
 

POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Jeff Teague, MIN at CHI
FanDuel = $6,100
DraftKings = $5,900

Teague has limited upside because of his lack of scoring opportunities playing alongside Jimmy Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Andrew Wiggins. There is still the potential for value though under the right circumstances because he is averaging 33 minutes per game this season. He scored 14 points and dished out 15 assists Wednesday in a favorable matchup against a Cavaliers team that struggles to defend point guards. He gets a similar opponent Friday as the Bulls allow the fifth-most points per game on FanDuel and the third-most points per game on DraftKings to the position. At this reasonable price, Teague has upside.

Joe Young, IND at BOS
FanDuel = $3,700
DraftKings = $3,000

The Pacers are without starting point guard Darren Collison (knee), which could open up some extra minutes for Young. In the first game that Collison missed Monday against the Wizards, Young played 28 minutes and scored 17 points to go along with five three-pointers. It’s important to note that Victor Oladipo also did not play in that game, but he should be fine for Friday. Young may not see the same amount of minutes, but his shooting performance could still lead to a somewhat expanded role. Considering he is dirt cheap on both sites, it might be worth taking a chance on him in tournament play.

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Nicolas Batum, CHA at UTA
FanDuel = $6,200
DraftKings = $6,500

While the Hornets may have been looking to deal Batum leading up to the NBA trade deadline Thursday, he ultimately was not traded and should continue to have a significant role with the team. Not only is Batum averaging 18.5 points in his last six games, but he also dished out at least five assists in four of those contests. His ability to provide numbers across the board gives him value, making him someone to consider for your entry again Friday.

J.R. Smith, CLE at ATL
FanDuel = $4,400
DraftKings = $4,800

The Cavaliers were very active at the deadline Thursday, making several key moves as they push towards a long playoff run. While they created more quality depth, their new players are not expected to be available to play Friday. This leaves a lot of extra minutes for the players who are still available, including Smith. Smith can score in a hurry and gets to face a bad Hawks defense, making him a viable option at this price.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Stanley Johnson, DET vs. LAC
FanDuel = $6,100
DraftKings = $5,100

Johnson has seen an expanded role since the Clippers traded away Avery Bradley, logging at least 34 minutes in four straight games. His production hasn’t been off the charts, but he’s averaged a respectable 13.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1.3 steals during that stretch. The Pistons did add a couple of players to their bench at the deadline, but no one who should significantly impact Johnson’s playing time Friday. His upside isn’t that high, but he is still someone to consider based on his price.

Taurean Prince, ATL vs. CLE
FanDuel = $4,500
DraftKings = $4,900

Prince has flashed his potential but has been very inconsistent this season overall. In his last six games, he has scored at least 19 points twice but scored five points or less three times. That’s a wild swing. The good news for Friday is that he plays a Cavaliers team that will not only be lacking depth, but the players left are not exactly world class defenders. If you want to take a chance on a cheap small forward in tournament play, Prince could help you cash in if his shot is falling.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

John Collins, ATL vs. CLE
FanDuel = $5,200
DraftKings = $4,800

The Hawks didn’t make any significant trades to free up minutes for Collins on Thursday, which could hinder his long-term value. There is still the possibility that they buy out one of their veterans, but it appears Collins minutes will continue to be limited for now. However, despite playing just 26 minutes in both of his last two games, he still averaged 12.0 points and 11.0 rebounds. With the Cavaliers depth issues Friday, Collins could still provide value for your entry.

Jeff Green, CLE at ATL
FanDuel = $3,900
DraftKings = $4,500

Green is another player on the Cavaliers who should benefit from their short rotations Friday. He has played at least 30 minutes in a game only twice this season, but averaged 20.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists in those two contests. He could be in line for similar playing time in this game, so don’t be afraid to take a chance on him in tournament play.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Jusuf Nurkic, POR at SAC
FanDuel = $6,600
DraftKings = $6,000

The Trail Blazers did not make any significant additions to their frontcourt Thursday, leaving Nurkic to anchor them in the middle for the foreseeable future. He’s not always the most consistent option, but he has scored at least 12 points and grabbed at least seven rebounds in six of his last seven games. The Kings allow the fourth-most points per game on FanDuel and the fifth-most points per game on DraftKings to opposing centers, leaving Nurkic as someone to consider for your lineup.

Greg Monroe, BOS vs. IND
FanDuel = $3,500
DraftKings = $4,300

Monroe made his debut with the Celtics on Thursday, scoring five points to go along with six rebounds, two assists and two steals in 20 minutes. He only took five shots in the game, but expect his role in the offense to expand as he becomes more familiar with his teammates. Friday brings a favorable matchup as the Pacers allow the third-most points per game on FanDuel and the second-most points per game on DraftKings to opposing centers. He won’t cost much, leaving him as a viable option.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/8/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/8/18

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Use Code “LABWP50” at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
 

POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

J.J. Barea, DAL at GS
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $4,700

The Mavericks have struggled to score this season, which has resulted in Barea posting the second-highest usage rate (25%) on the team. He’s played well in his first three matchups against the Warriors this season, averaging 13.3 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per contest. Combine his usage rate with the fact that the Warriors play at the second-fastest pace (102.6 possessions per game) in the league and Barea becomes a viable option for your entry.

Fred VanVleet, TOR vs. NY
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $4,600

VanVleet has been given more playing time lately, logging at least 20 minutes in each of his last five games. He’s made the most of the opportunity, averaging 14.8 points, 3.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 2.0 three-pointers per contest. He gets a great matchup against a depleted Knicks squad Thursday that allows the sixth-most points per game on FanDuel and the seventh-most points per game on DraftKings to opposing point guards. At this price, he might be worth the risk.

 

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Josh Hart, LAL vs. OKC
FanDuel = $6,300
DraftKings = $5,500

Hart has started each of the last three games for the Lakers, logging at least 31 minutes in each contest. He hasn’t let the Lakers down, averaging 14.7 points, 12.0 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 1.3 steals and 2.7 three-pointers per contest. The Lakers won each game, so look for him to stick in the starting lineup with Lonzo Ball (knee) still sidelined. He just scored 14 points and grabbed 11 rebounds against the Thunder on Sunday and should be someone to consider again in their rematch.

Wesley Matthews, DAL at GS
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $5,800

Matthews is not a great offensive player, but he still has value because he plays a lot on a Mavericks team thin on talent. He only has a 17.5% usage rate, but he’s averaging 34 minutes per game. He has also played well in three games against the Warriors this season, averaging 16.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.0 steal and 3.7 three-pointers per contest. The price is right to take a chance on him again Thursday.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Michael Beasley, NY at TOR
FanDuel = $6,200
DraftKings = $6,300

Kristaps Porzingis (knee) is out for the season, likely leaving Beasley to take over as the Knicks starting power forward. He is a volume scorer and has played well when given extended playing time this season, averaging 25.5 points, 8.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.2 blocks in six games where he has played at least 30 minutes. His priced already jumped up significantly, but it’s still low enough to make him worth consideration for your entry.

Mario Hezonja, ORL vs. ATL
FanDuel = $5,400
DraftKings = $5,300

The Magic will be without Aaron Gordon (hip) again on Thursday, marking the sixth straight game he will miss. Hezonja has played at least 25 minutes in each of the first five games that Gordon was sidelined, averaging 15.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 3.2 three-pointers per contest. The Magic play at the seventh-fastest pace (101) in the league and get to face a bad Hawks team Thursday, leaving Hezonja with upside.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Dwight Powell, DAL at GS
FanDuel = $5,500
DraftKings = $4,500

Powell has started each of the last three games for the Mavericks, averaging 10.7 points, 8.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists in those three contests. He averaged 29 minutes per game in those three starts compared to 19 minutes per game on the season overall. The added playing time gives him a big boost in value, especially Thursday considering the pace at which the Warriors play. At this price, he’s worth taking a chance on in tournament play.

Jerami Grant, OKC at LAL
FanDuel = $5,200
DraftKings = $4,800

The Thunder have one of the thinnest benches in the league, leaving Grant as one of the best members of their second unit. He’s currently having one of his best stretches of the season, averaging 12.3 points and 6.7 rebounds in his last six games. Thursday brings a favorable matchup against the Lakers, who play at the fastest pace (103) and allow the fifth-most points per game (109.7) in the league. Both Russell Westbrook (ankle) and Carmelo Anthony (ankle) are listed as questionable as well, so the Thunder might really need to lean on Grant if either of them can’t play. Even if they both do take the floor, Grant is still a viable option for your entry.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Steven Adams, OKC at LAL
FanDuel = $6,900
DraftKings = $6,700

Adams continues to anchor the middle for the Thunder, posting a double-double in eight of his last 13 games. He’s provided value defensively as well, recording at least three steals in five games during that same stretch. In his first three meetings with the Lakers this season, Adams averaged 15.0 points, 7.0 rebounds, 2.0 steals and 1.7 blocks per contest. His price isn’t that cheap, but it’s still reasonable enough to give him value Thursday.

Kyle O’Quinn, NY at TOR
FanDuel = $4,000
DraftKings = $4,400

The Knicks are clearly sellers heading into Thursday’s NBA trade deadline, so you’ll have to keep an eye on O’Quinn’s status throughout the day as he could be dealt. If he isn’t traded though, he is going to be in line for significant playing time Thursday with Porzingis and Enes Kanter (mouth) out and Willy Hernangomez traded to the Hornets. He has played at least 20 minutes in a game 15 times this season, averaging 10.7 points, 8.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.3 blocks per contest. He could end up being one of the better value plays of the night if he’s still on the Knicks.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/7/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/7/18

Use Code "LABWP50" at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
Use Code “LABWP50” at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
 

POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Jeff Teague, MIN at CLE
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $5,700

Teague has not been good offensively lately, scoring nine points or less in four of his last five games. He doesn’t provide many rebounds either, leaving him with limited upside when he struggles to score. The good news is he gets to face the Cavaliers on Wednesday, who have been horrible defensively. They have been particularly poor defending points guards, allowing the second-most points per game on FanDuel and the third-most points per game on DraftKings to the position. It might be worth the risk that he rebounds offensively in this game based on his price.

Tyler Ulis, PHO vs. SA
FanDuel =$4,400
DraftKings = $4,400

Ulis started with Devin Booker (hip) injured Tuesday, scoring eight points to go along with seven assists and one rebound. The key is he played 30 minutes in the game. He has played at least 30 minutes in a game nine times this season, averaging 10.2 points, 2.2 rebounds, 6.7 assists and 1.7 steals per contest. Booker is not expected to play again Wednesday, so the volume of playing time alone makes Ulis someone worth considering for your entry.

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Danny Green, SA at PHO
FanDuel = $4,800
DraftKings = $4,900

Green has struggled with his shot this season, shooting only 39.7% from the field. That would actually mark his third-straight season shooting under 40%. He’s made up for his offensive deficiencies lately though, averaging 5.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.7 steals and 2.0 blocks in his last three games. In his first meeting with the Suns this season, Green scored 14 points to go along with two rebounds, two assists, one steal and two three-pointers. The Suns allow the most points per game (112.2) in the league, so Green might be worth the risk at this cheap price.

Wayne Ellington, MIA vs. HOU
FanDuel = $4,400
DraftKings = $4,300

The Heat have suffered a lot of injuries this season, but their health has improved of late. As a result, Ellington has played 29 minutes or less in three of his last five games. The majority of his value comes from his ability to score and hit three-pointers, so limited playing time is going to hinder his value. However, he could see a few extra minutes Wednesday as the Rockets like to use a lot of small lineups. The Rockets also play at the ninth-fastest pace (100.7 possessions per game) in the league, so Ellington might be someone to take a chance on in tournament play.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Bojan Bogdanovic, IND at NO
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $5,200

Bogdanovic has scored at least 18 points in four straight games, shooting 53.8% from behind the arc during that stretch. He’s not always one of the Pacers primary scoring options, but he can put up points in a hurry when he gets in a groove. Wednesday brings a favorable matchup against the Pelicans who allow the second-most points per game (111.1) and play at the fourth-fastest pace (101.8) in the league, giving Bogdanovic excellent upside.

Reggie Bullock, DET vs. BKN
FanDuel = $4,700
DraftKings = $4,600

Bullock has seen an increase in playing time since the Pistons big trade with the Clippers, logging at least 34 minutes in three straight games. He’s an excellent three-point shooter, hitting 7-of-16 shots from behind the arc during that stretch. The Nets play at the sixth-fastest pace (101.1) in the league, which is a plus for Bullock when you factor in his increased playing time. Although he might not provide much outside of scoring, Bullock is still priced low enough to warrant consideration Wednesday.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Thaddeus Young, IND at NO
FanDuel = $5,900
DraftKings = $5,500

Young may not put up flashy numbers, but he’s averaging 12.0 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 1.5 steals in his last six games. It’s important to note that he played at least 34 minutes in four of those six contests. The heavy minutes could mean added opportunities to produce Wednesday with the Pelicans struggles on defense and their up-tempo style of play. The Pelicans allow the third-most points per game on DraftKings and the fourth-most points per game on FanDuel to opposing power forwards, making Young a viable option for your lineup.

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, HOU at MIA
FanDuel = $4,300
DraftKings = $4,000

Mbah a Moute has been getting a lot of playing time for the Rockets lately, logging at least 35 minutes in three of his last four games. With Trevor Ariza (hamstring) out and Ryan Anderson (ankle) questionable for Wednesday, Mbah a Moute should see plenty of action again in this game. His limited offensive skills don’t leave him with great upside, but he could contribute enough across the board to be worth consideration at this cheap price.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Jarrett Allen, BKN at DET
FanDuel = $5,700
DraftKings = $5,100

Allen has taken over as the starting center for the Nets and that should continue moving forward, especially since they just traded Tyler Zeller to the Bucks. In five starts this season, Allen is averaging 15.6 points and 6.0 rebounds per contest. He’s playing just 24 minutes per game as a starter and doesn’t provide great defensive numbers, but he can still provide value on a night like Wednesday with only six games on the schedule.

Bam Adebayo, MIA vs. HOU
FanDuel = $4,200
DraftKings = $4,700

The Heat have been limiting Hassan Whiteside’s playing time, especially late in games. Adebayo has been one of the primary beneficiaries of that move, logging at least 24 minutes in three straight games. He’s made the most of the opportunity, recording a double-double in two of those games. This isn’t a great matchup against a Rockets team that likes to play small, but the Heat may be forced to give Adebayo plenty of playing time if Kelly Olynyk (shoulder) is unable to play. Keep your eye on Olynyk’s status throughout the day and if he is indeed ruled out, Adebayo is a viable option in tournament play.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 17

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*


Use Code "LABWP50" at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
Use Code “LABWP50” at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 17

It’s important to know the intricacies of the NBA schedule to gain an advantage over your opponent in a head-to-head fantasy league as starting your best players might not always give you the best chance to win. Here are some moves you might want to consider for your team based on the week ahead.

Teams With The Most Games – 4 Games Each
Atlanta Hawks, Boston Celtics, Charlotte Hornets, Cleveland Cavaliers, Dallas Mavericks, Detroit Pistons, Houston Rockets, Indiana Pacers, New Orleans Pelicans, Orlando Magic, Portland Trail Blazers, Utah Jazz, Washington Wizards

This is the last full week before the All-Star break, leaving 13 teams to play four games each. If you don’t have many players on these teams, consider adding the players below who are still available in the majority of leagues.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 17

Reggie Bullock, Detroit Pistons

Bullock is playing well right now, averaging 15.0 points, 3.6 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 3.2 three-pointers in his last five games. He played at least 29 minutes in all five of those contests and should continue to see extended playing time moving forward with Avery Bradley now on the Clippers. He’s not going to provide a lot defensively and isn’t a great passer, but could provide a big boost to your team in three-pointers with four games this week. He is still available in 75% of Yahoo! leagues.

Tomas Satoransky, Washington Wizards

Satoransky is coming off of his best game of the season Saturday against the Magic when he scored 19 points to go along with three rebounds, six assists, two steals and three three-pointers. While he is now starting in place of John Wall (knee), that’s about the best line you can expect from Satoransky. He’s not a great offensive player, but he has dished out at least six assists and three of his last four games and has at least two steals in three straight contests. He’s still available in 76% of Yahoo! leagues and could be a valuable addition if you need help at point guard this week.

Yogi Ferrell, Dallas Mavericks

Ferrell is not starting for the Mavericks, but he has played at least 30 minutes in 10 of the last 13 games. He’s taken advantage of the added minutes, averaging 13.6 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 2.4 three-pointers in those 10 contests. Not only does he get to play four games this week, but he has excellent matchups against the Clippers, Warriors, Lakers, and Rockets. All four of those teams are in the top-nine in the league in pace of play. Ferrell is still available in 87% of Yahoo! leagues and could be a difference maker this week.

Teams With The Fewest Games – 2 Games Each
San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs are the only team with just two games this week, leaving their players with considerably less value than normal. As a result, consider benching the below.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 17

Pau Gasol, San Antonio Spurs

Gasol’s numbers are already down this season with his 10.8 points per game being the lowest average of his career. He’s still maintained fantasy value though by averaging 8.3 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 1.0 block per game. He hasn’t been much help from the field though, shooting just 46.9%. That is well below his career average of 50.9%. Since he doesn’t excel in any one category, this might be the week to put Gasol on your bench.

Dejounte Murray, San Antonio Spurs

Murray has taken over for Tony Parker, starting each of the last eight games for the Spurs. He’s provided valuable supporting stats, averaging 8.6 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 1.4 steals in those eight games. However, he’s not a great scorer, averaging just 9.8 points over that same stretch. He is not a good three-point shooter either, which limits his overall upside. In a week with only two games, he might do more harm than good in your lineup. Put him on the bench.

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner – @rotomikebarner*

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

Advanced stats are important in any sport, but they have especially changed the way we look at baseball. One important advanced stat to consider when drafting your fantasy baseball squad is batting average on balls in play, also known a BABIP.

As defined by BaseballReference.com, BABIP, “measures what happens when the player puts the ball in play on the field.” The formula to calculate BABIP is (H-HR)/ (AB – SO – HR + SF).

In 2017, the league average batting average was .255. Historically, the league average BABIP is usually right around .300. Now, that doesn’t mean just because a hitter has a BABIP above or below .300 that they are in line for a correction in 2018. You want to compare their BABIP more with their career marks and also consider their skill sets. For example, a fast runner who hits a lot of ground balls could have a high BABIP simply because they are able to leg out base hits that other runners with normal speed would not be able to.

It is also important to consider the type of contact that a player is making, whether they hit a lot of fly balls or line drives. A player who hits more hard line drives can have a high BABIP because the fielders could have a more difficult time reaching the ball to record an out. A player who hits a lot of weak fly balls is going to have a lower BABIP because they aren’t leaving themselves with a great opportunity to reach base.

All of that being said, let’s take a look at a few players who had an abnormally high or low BABIP last season and discuss how to project their batting averages for this season.

 

Avisail Garcia, Chicago White Sox

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

Garcia not only hit a career-high .330 last season, but it left him with the third-highest batting averaging in the league behind Jose Altuve and Charlie Blackmon. That’s some pretty impressive company. However, Garcia is a career .277 hitter, which is an immediate red flag.

A closer look at Garcia’s numbers shows he had a .392 BABIP last year, which was the highest in baseball. That screams candidate for regression, especially when you consider his career BABIP is just .340. Garcia even struck out less last year with a 19.8% strikeout percentage, which is almost three percent lower than his career average. His line drive percentage was 24%, which was spot on with his career mark.

He is still a talented young player who could have a valuable fantasy season, but make sure you aren’t drafting him with the expectation that he will hit for that high of an average again this year.

Ryan Zimmerman, Washington Nationals

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

Zimmerman has played in over 1,500 career games, which gives us an example sample size to work off of. After dealing with injuries the last few seasons, Zimmerman was able to largely stay healthy in 2017 and played in 144 games. He finished with a career-high 36 home runs and recorded at least 100 RBI for the third time in his career. He had a sparkling .303 batting average, which was especially high considering he hasn’t batted above .280 since 2012.

However, a lot of his success can be attributed to his performance in the first half of the season when he batted .345. It’s no coincidence that he had an extremely high BABIP of .364 during that same time frame. His career BABIP is .311, so it made much more sense that he had a BABIP of .306 during the second half of the season. While the decline in BABIP, Zimmerman’s batting average was just .269 in the second half.

Health is always a major concern if you are drafting Zimmerman, but remember that his excessively high BABIP in the first half led to an inflated batting average for the season overall.

Zack Cozart, Los Angeles Angels

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

Cozart is the only player on this list to change teams this winter as he signed with the Angeles after playing his entire career with the Cincinnati Reds. Cozart had the best season of his career in 2017, hitting .297 with 24 home runs, 63 RBI and 80 runs scored. He was able to cash that in for a three-year, $38 million contract. With how slow the market has moved this winter, that was a significant deal.

Another alarm should go off with Cozart though as he is only a career .254 hitter. He did most of his damage in the first half, batting .316 with a .358 BABIP. To put that into perspective, his career BABIP is only .280. He experienced a significant regression in the second half, batting just .272 with a .252 BABIP.

Cozart did drastically improve his walk percentage to 12.2% last season, but his 26% line drive percentage was actually two percent lower than both of the previous two seasons. Buyer beware if you are drafting him based on his batting average last season.

Mookie Betts, Boston Red Sox

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

Betts was one of the hottest names in fantasy baseball heading into last year after hitting .318 with 31 home runs, 113 RBI, 122 runs scored and 26 steals in 2016. Even though the Red Sox offense as a whole took a step backward in 2017, Betts still had great counting stats with 24 home runs, 102 RBI, 101 runs scored and 26 stolen bases.

Betts couldn’t completely deliver on his lofty fantasy expectations though because he batted only .264 for the season. His strikeout percentage, groundball to fly ball ratio and line drive percentage were all almost right on par with his career averages. The big difference is he had only a .268 BABIP last year after never finishing with one below .310 in his career. It was low throughout the season, showing very little improvement in the second half.

Betts has an extremely high upside in fantasy and could have just had one of those “unlucky” seasons in terms of his BABIP considering his career numbers. Expect improvement in the batting average department from him this year.

Manny Machado, Baltimore Orioles

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

Machado is also one of the most coveted offense players in fantasy. Not only has he developed into a premier power hitter, but he had hit at least .278 in four straight seasons leading into 2017. Although he stole 20 bases in 2015, he has only stolen nine total bases in two seasons since.

Machado saw a significant decline in his batting average in 2017, finishing the season hitting just .259. Much of that can be attributed to a horrid first half where he batted just .230 in large part due to his .230 BABIP. He has a career .301 BABIP, so it’s no surprise that he improved to a .290 BABIP in the second half of the season. He batted .290 over that same stretch.

Machado will be dealing with a position change this year, moving from third base to his natural position at shortstop. However, one constant that should return this year with a normal BABIP is his high batting average.

Rougned Odor, Texas Rangers

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: BABIP Trends

Odor has become one of the premier power-hitting second basemen in baseball, slugging at least 30 home runs in back-to-back seasons. He does not do a great job getting on base though with only a 4.2% walk percentage. He has logged 1,212 at-bats in the last two seasons but has only walked 51 times. His swinging strikes percentage has increased in each season of his career, topping out at 20.8% in 2017.

While he doesn’t walk much, Odor had a batting average of at least .259 in each of his first three seasons. He struggled mightily in that department last year, batting just .204. Much of that can be attributed to his .224 BABIP, which was almost 60 points lower than any previous season of his career. His inability to get on base limits his fantasy value, but it’s highly unlikely that he will hit just over .200 again this season.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/2/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/2/18

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POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Ricky Rubio, UTA at PHO
FanDuel = $5,900
DraftKings = $6,200

Rubio’s first season with the Jazz has been a struggle, resulting in him averaging a career-low 5.0 assists per game. His overall numbers lately have been better though, averaging 13.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, 6.5 assists and 1.2 steals in his last six games. Friday brings an excellent matchup against the Suns who play at the third-fastest pace (102.1 possessions per game) and allow the most points per game (111.8) in the league. You shouldn’t expect Rubio to put up a ton of points, but he can contribute enough across the board to provide value.

De’Aaron Fox, SAC vs. GS
FanDuel = $5,900
DraftKings = $5,900

Fox had possibly his best month of the season in January, averaging 14.1 points, 2.2 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.2 three-pointers in 14 games. It’s no coincidence that he averaged 30 minutes per game during the month, which is at least three minutes more per contest than any of the previous three months. With the Kings declaring they are going to give their young players more minutes, this is a trend that should continue for Fox down the stretch. With added opportunities to produce against a Warriors team that plays at the second-fastest pace (102.4) in the league Friday, Fox is worth consideration for your entry.

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Nicolas Batum, CHA vs. IND
FanDuel = $6,100
DraftKings = $6,400

Batum has always had the ability to contribute excellent all-around numbers, but he’s struggled to adjust to an elbow injury and the addition of Dwight Howard for much of this season. However, he’s showing signs of coming out of his funk, even posting a triple-double Wednesday against the Hawks. He also played well against these same Pacers on Monday, scoring 22 points to go along with four rebounds, two assists, and five three-pointers. He’s played at least 34 minutes in three straight games, which is great news considering he’s more of a stat compiler as opposed to excelling in any one category. His price is climbing, but it’s still low enough to make him a viable option Friday.

Tony Snell, MIL vs. NY
FanDuel = $4,000
DraftKings = #3,700

This could be an ugly game for the Bucks. Eric Bledsoe (ankle) was unable to play Thursday against the Timberwolves and Malcolm Brogdon (quad) also suffered an injury that should keep him out Friday at the very least. To make matters worse, Giannis Antetokounmpo twisted his ankle late in the game. If all three players are ruled out Friday, Snell is going to see a significant increase in playing time. Even if Bledsoe is able to return, Snell should play a lot if both Brogdon and Giannis can’t take the floor. Keep an eye on the Bucks’ injury updates leading up to this game because even though Snell is not a great offensive player, the added minutes alone can give him value at this dirt cheap price.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

DeMarre Carroll, BKN vs. LAL
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $5,800

The Nets will continue to be thin up front Friday with Ronda Hollis-Jefferson (groin) still out. In the last three games that Hollis-Jefferson has missed, Carroll is averaging 13.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.7 three-pointers per contest. He doesn’t have a ton of scoring upside, but he does have a favorable matchup against the Lakers who play at the fastest pace (103.2) and are tied for the third-most points allowed per game (110.3) in the league. At this reasonable price, Carroll is worth consideration.

Josh Jackson, PHO vs. UTA
FanDuel = $5,300
DraftKings = $5,200

Jackson is starting to see more consistent playing time, logging at least 28 minutes in three of the last four games. He’s made the most of his opportunity, averaging 19.7 points, 8.0 rebounds and 1.3 three-pointers in those three contests. The Suns just lost Isaiah Canaan (ankle) for the season, which should also help free up some minutes for Jackson. He has excellent upside, making him someone to strongly consider for your entry.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Thaddeus Young, IND at CHA
FanDuel = $6,200
DraftKings = $5,700

Young is getting plenty of playing time for the Pacers, logging at least 35 minutes in seven of his last nine games. He doesn’t always score a lot, but he has managed to produce at least 16 points in three of his last five games. He’s also provided a boost in value with his defensive contributions, recording at least two steals in seven of his last eight games. The Hornets don’t have much depth at power forward with Marvin Williams (ankle) out, leaving Young with an opportunity to provide value Friday.

John Henson, MIL vs. NY
FanDuel = $5,500
DraftKings = $4,800

Henson doesn’t put up crazy numbers, but the Bucks have very little talent at center, leaving him with extended playing time.  He’s not only scored at least 10 points in seven straight games, but he is also averaging 6.4 rebounds during that stretch. The Knicks have a lot of size up front, likely leaving Henson with another significant role Friday. His upside isn’t that high, but that doesn’t mean he’s not someone to consider at this cheap price. Of note, Henson is only power forward eligible on FanDuel as he is eligible only at center on DraftKings.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Julius Randle, LAL at BKN
FanDuel = $6,600
DraftKings = $6,700

Randle enters Friday averaging 18.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 3.0 assists in his last five games. Brook Lopez has logged 15 minutes or less in three of those five contests, leaving Randle with added playing time. Randle has the third-highest usage rate (24.7%) on the team, so the added playing time is significant for his upside. The Nets allow the most points per game on both FanDuel and DraftKings to opposing centers, so don’t hesitate to play Randle.

Jahlil Okafor, BKN vs. LAL
FanDuel = $4,000
DraftKings = $3,800

After playing at least 24 minutes in back-to-back games, Okafor took a back seat to Jarrett Allen on Wednesday, playing just 14 minutes. Although Allen played well in that game, he too has been inconsistent this season. Okafor actually has a 20.5% usage rate since being traded to the Nets, so he does have upside when he gets playing time. It’s tough to go with a player in an uncertain role like Okafor’s, but he might be worth the risk if you are looking for a really cheap center.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/1/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/1/18

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Use Code “LABWP50” at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
 

POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Dejounte Murray, SA vs. HOU
FanDuel = $6,300
DraftKings = $5,900

Murray had a rare stat line Tuesday against the Nuggets where he failed to score, but still provided 10 rebounds, seven assists, and two blocks. Scoring is not his strength, but Murray has averaged 8.8 rebounds and 5.3 assists in six games since taking over as the starting point guard. He’ll likely get back on the board in the scoring column Thursday and should have an excellent opportunity to be productive overall considering the Rockets play at the eighth-fastest pace (101 possessions per game) in the league.

Tomas Satoransky, WAS vs. TOR
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $4,600

Satoransky will now be the starting point guard for the Wizards with John Wall (knee) out 6-to-8 weeks. Starting in place of Wall for the last two games, Satoransky averaged 7.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 6.5 assists, 1.0 steal and 1.5 three-pointers per contest. While he does have Tim Frazier behind him, Frazier hasn’t played well when given extended minutes this season. Satoransky is not going to provide much offense, but he can still do enough across the board to provide value at this price.

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Malcolm Brogdon, MIL at MIN
FanDuel = $5,400
DraftKings = $5,300

The Bucks will likely be without Eric Bledsoe (ankle) on Thursday, who is listed as doubtful to play against the Timberwolves. That would leave a big hole to fill in their offense as Bledsoe has the second-highest usage rate (27.2%) on the team. Brogdon would be one of the main beneficiaries of Bledsoe’s absence, giving him a significant boost in value. In the last six games that Brogdon has played at least 34 minutes, he has averaged 17.7 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. Don’t hesitate to add him to your entry.

Wayne Selden Jr., MEM at DET
FanDuel = $3,600
DraftKings = $4,000

Not only are the Grizzlies riddled with injuries right now, but they have also decided to sit Tyreke Evans while they attempt to trade him.  That opened up added playing time for Selden on Wednesday against the Pacers, when he scored 24 points to go along with four rebounds, two assists, two steals and six three-pointers in 31 minutes. He played 31 minutes in the previous game against the Suns as well, finishing with 17 points and six assists. Considering he won’t cost much, he could be worth the risk Thursday.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Kyle Anderson, SA vs. HOU
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $5,100

Anderson is coming off of one of his better games of the season Tuesday against the Nuggets, scoring 18 points to go along with four rebounds, five assists, one steal and two blocks. He’s not a high volume scorer, but he makes his shots count by shooting 51.6% from the field this season. Not only do the Rockets play at a fast pace, but they also use a lot of small lineups and will be without one of their better defenders in Trevor Ariza (hamstring) on Thursday. Anderson could be in line for another well-rounded performance.

Stanley Johnson, DET vs. MEM
FanDuel = $5,200
DraftKings = $5,400

The Pistons were short-handed Tuesday due to their trade with the Clippers, leaving Johnson to play 40 minutes. To say he took advantage of the opportunity is an understatement as he finished with 26 points, 10 rebounds, four assists, two steals and one block. Johnson should be in line for added playing time moving forward with Avery Bradley no longer on the team, but he might not be as involved offensively with Griffin likely to play Thursday. Even if he doesn’t get another 21 shot attempts like he did Tuesday, he should still get enough playing time to warrant consideration for your lineup.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Markieff Morris, WAS vs. TOR
FanDuel = $5,700
DraftKings = $6,200

Morris is only averaging 26 minutes per game this season, but he has played at least 30 minutes in four of his last five games. In those four contests, he averaged 18.5 points, 7.3 rebounds and 2.0 three-pointers per game. He should continue to see extended playing time moving forward with the Wizards looking for help offensively with Wall out. His price is rapidly climbing, but it’s still low enough Thursday that he can provide value.

John Henson, MIL at MIN
FanDuel = $5,500
DraftKings = $4,900

The Bucks have been rumored to be looking for help up front leading up to the NBA trade deadline, but Henson will continue to get extended minutes for now. While his numbers aren’t off the charts, he is averaging a respectable 11.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.2 blocks in his last six games. The Bucks are going to need his size up front Thursday to battle with a big Timberwolves frontcourt, so expect him to get plenty of playing time. Of note, Henson is only power forward eligible on FanDuel as he is eligible only at center on DraftKings. Regardless of position, he is a viable option in this game.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Clint Capela, HOU at SA
FanDuel = $6,700
DraftKings = $6,800

Capela continues to have an excellent season, averaging career-highs in points (14.2), rebounds (10.8) and blocks (1.7) per game. Although he only averages 27 minutes per game, the lack of rebounders on the Rockets and their up-tempo style still leaves Capela with plenty of opportunities to be productive. He may be needed for a few additional minutes against a big Spurs frontcourt Thursday, leaving him as someone to consider for your entry.

Marcin Gortat, WAS vs. TOR
FanDuel = $4,600
DraftKings = $4,600

With only five games on the schedule Thursday, there aren’t any great really cheap options at center. It might be wise to spend up at the position as a result. However, if you are determined to save money at the position, Gortat could have some upside. In two previous games against the Raptors this season, Gortat averaged 11.5 points, 12.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest. If he can get enough playing time, he could at least approach another double-double in their third meeting.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 1/31/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 1/31/18

Use Code "LABWP50" at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
Use Code “LABWP50” at checkout for 50% off Seasonal Package
 

POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Isaiah Thomas, CLE vs. MIA
FanDuel = $6,100
DraftKings = $5,600

The Cavaliers suffered a significant loss Tuesday when Kevin Love went down with a hand injury. He was averaging 17.9 points per game this season, now leaving a big hole in their offense. Thomas is never one to shy away from extra shot attempts and already has the second-highest usage rate (29.5%) on the team. While Thomas leaves a lot to be desired defensively, his offensive skills are impressive. The price is right to take a chance on him for your entry Wednesday.

Terry Rozier, BOS vs. NY
FanDuel = $5,100
DraftKings = $5,300

Marcus Smart (hand) has missed the last three games for the Celtics, leaving Rozier with a more significant role off the bench. While his numbers weren’t off the charts, he averaged a respectable 10.7 points, 5.7 rebounds, 4.3 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.7 three-pointers in those three contests. Wednesday brings a favorable matchup against the Knicks who have struggled to defend opposing point guards this season. His upside may not be as high as Thomas’, but his ability to contribute in multiple categories still makes him a viable option.

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Nicolas Batum, CHA at ATL
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $6,200

Batum has been slowed by an elbow injury at times this season, which could be a major factor in why he is shooting a career-low 30.1% from behind the arc. Playing time has not been an issue though as he has played at least 33 minutes in seven of his last 10 games. He’s had a few big offensive games lately, scoring at least 19 points in three of his last six contests. He also played well against these same Hawks last week, finishing with 19 points, four rebounds, eight assists and three three-pointers. If his shot is falling again Wednesday, he could provide significant value when combined with his ability to contribute both rebounds and assists.

Dwyane Wade, CLE vs. MIA
FanDuel = $4,100
DraftKings = $4,700

Wade played 28 minutes Tuesday against the Pistons, the most playing time he has seen in a game in over a month. He took advantage of the opportunity, scoring 18 points to go along with eight rebounds and five assists. The Cavaliers have taken a cautious approach with his minutes this season, but they might need him to play more now with Love out of action. He might have some extra motivation facing his former team Wednesday as well, so he could be in line for a valuable performance.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

DeMarre Carroll, BKN vs. PHI
FanDuel = $5,500
DraftKings = $5,700

Carroll has been a bright spot for the Nets this season, averaging career-highs in points (13.0), rebounds (6.7) and assists (1.9) per game. The Nets have dealt with a lot of injuries, but Carroll has played in 46 of their 51 games. He’s not showing any signs of slowing down, averaging 14.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.2 steals and 1.8 three-pointers in January. The Sixers and Nets are both in the top-five in the league in pace of play, which could result in added production from Carroll on Wednesday.

Denzel Valentine, CHI at POR
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $5,500

Although Valentine has shifted to the bench with Zach LaVine finally healthy, he’s still logged at least 30 minutes in three of his last four games. LaVine is still on a minutes restriction, so Valentine should see similar playing time until that is lifted. The Bulls might really need Valentine to provide an offensive spark Wednesday with Lauri Markkanen (personal) out and Nikola Mirotic (leg) listed as questionable. Valentine is more than just a scorer though, averaging 4.7 assists in his last six games. He could be in line for one of his better performances of the season.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Jarell Martin, MEM at IND
FanDuel = $5,000
DraftKings = $4,900

The Grizzlies are decimated by injuries right now. James Ennis III (calf) and Chandler Parsons (knee) have already been ruled out for Wednesday while JaMychal Green (ankle) is doubtful and Dillon Brooks (knee), Mario Chalmers (hamstring), Deyonta Davis (knee) and Ben McLemore (knee) are all listed as questionable. With so few healthy options, Martin should get plenty of playing time in this game. He has played at least 30 minutes in a game six times this season, averaging 13.0 points, 6.5 rebounds, 2.0 blocks and 1.2 three-pointers in those contests. Don’t hesitate to take a chance on him again Wednesday.

Bobby Portis, CHI at POR
FanDuel = $4,500
DraftKings = $5,900

If both Markkanen and Mirotic don’t play Wednesday, Portis is going to be in line for huge minutes. Even is Mirotic does manage to play, Portis should still see a jump in playing time with Markkanen sidelined. Portis has the second-highest usage rate (25.9%) on the team, so the added playing time should give him a significant boost in value. While Portis should provide value on both sites, he could really outproduce his dirt cheap price on FanDuel.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Myles Turner, IND vs. MEM
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $6,100

Turner was excellent in his second game back from an elbow injury Monday, scoring 22 points to go along with four rebounds, three assists and one block in just 21 minutes. He looks to be rounding back into form and is reportedly likely to rejoin the starting five Wednesday. It won’t be a cake walk considering the Grizzlies allow the fewest points per game on both FanDuel and DraftKings to opposing centers, but it’s not too often you’ll see Turner priced this low. This might be the time to take advantage of the opportunity.

Jahlil Okafor, BKN vs. PHI
FanDuel = $3,600
DraftKings = $3,600

The Nets started Jarrett Allen at center for the first time this season Tuesday, but Okafor still managed to play 25 minutes off the bench. He’s actually played at least 24 minutes in back-to-back contests, averaging 13.0 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 1.0 block. Tyler Zeller didn’t play at all Tuesday, so it appears the Nets want to give Allen and Okafor extended looks for the time being. Okafor has the higher upside between the two and might be worth taking a chance on if you want to try a very cheap center in tournament play.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 16

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner*


RING in 2018 with code "NEWYEAR40" at checkout for 40% off Seasonal Package
RING in 2018 with code “NEWYEAR40” at checkout for 40% off Seasonal Package

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 16

It’s important to know the intricacies of the NBA schedule to gain an advantage over your opponent in a head-to-head fantasy league as starting your best players might not always give you the best chance to win. Here are some moves you might want to consider for your team based on the week ahead.

Teams With The Most Games – 4 Games Each
Atlanta Hawks, Boston Celtics, Brooklyn Nets, Charlotte Hornets, Denver Nuggets, Indiana Pacers, Memphis Grizzlies, Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks, Minnesota Timberwolves, New York Knicks, Oklahoma City Thunder, Philadelphia 76ers, Phoenix Suns, Portland Trail Blazers, Toronto Raptors

There are 16 teams with four games each this week, likely giving you a solid base to work off of in your league. If you do need help rounding out your lineup though, consider adding the players below who are still available in the majority of leagues.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 16

Marcus Morris, Boston Celtics

The Celtics are not a good offensive team and place a heavy amount of the scoring burden on Kyrie Irving. Morris is one of their best secondary scorers and his 22.8% usage rate is actually second-highest on the team. He’s currently having his best month of the season, averaging 12.0 points, 5.8 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 1.2 three-pointers per game in January. It doesn’t matter if he starts or comes off the bench as he plays about the same amount of minutes in both roles. If you need help at forward, go pick up Morris, who is still available in 61% of Yahoo! leagues.

Dillon Brooks, Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies have been decimated by injuries this season, leaving Brooks to average 28 minutes per game in his rookie campaign. He’s taken advantage of the added playing time, averaging 13.0 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.0 three-pointers and 1.1 steals in his last eight games. He’s been very efficient as well, shooting at least 50% from the field six of those seven contests. Although his scoring upside isn’t very high, he can provide significant value in three-pointers with four games this week. He’s still available in 88% of Yahoo! leagues.

Jarell Martin, Memphis Grizzlies

Martin has also seen increased playing time due to all of the Grizzlies injuries, logging at least 31 minutes in three of his last five games. He has played at least 30 minutes in a game five times this season, averaging 13.8 points, 7.0 rebounds, 1.8 blocks and 1.4 steals in those contests. The Grizzlies don’t appear to be getting any reinforcements soon, so Martin could be in line for a big week. He’s still available in 95% of Yahoo! leagues and is someone to consider picking up, especially if you need help with rebounds and blocks.

Teams With The Fewest Games – 2 Games Each
Chicago Bulls, Los Angeles Clippers

With only two teams playing two games each this week, players on both the Bulls and Clippers will take a hit in value. As a result, consider benching the players below who you may normally start most weeks.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 16

Nikola Mirotic, Chicago Bulls

Mirotic got off to a hot start when he came back from injury for the Bulls, but has now scored 15 points or less in four of his last five games. He doesn’t provide much in the way of assists, steals, or blocks, so he’s far less valuable when he’s not scoring. Considering he only has two games this week, it might be a good time to put him on your bench. Taking a chance he turns things around offensively just isn’t worth the risk based on his other contributions.

Justin Holiday, Chicago Bulls

Holiday has provided significant value from behind the arc this season, averaging 2.4 three-pointers per game. To put that into perspective, that is higher than Garry Harris, Kevin Love and Carmelo Anthony. He’s been atrocious from the field in general though, shooting just 37.5%. He’s averaging just 4.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game this season, leaving him with little value in a week with only two games. If you’ve relied on Holiday’s three-point shooting this season, see if you can pick up Brooks.

Danilo Gallinari, Los Angeles Clippers

Gallinari has been out for well over a month, so you haven’t been starting him anyways. However, with the news that he is planning to return to action Tuesday, fantasy owners who have been patiently waiting for him might think about putting him back into their lineup this week. That’s not a good idea though as he is likely going to be on a minutes limit when he returns. The good news is he’ll have extra rest with only two games this, so you can get him back on your radar the following week.