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Cory Hanley

MLB Lineup Optimizer Stacks for 04/11/17

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James Leer

Welcome to Lineup Lab’s MLB Daily Fantasy Stacks article, where we feature our top stacks for our MLB Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite stacks from the article below in our lineup optimizer and hit calculate. You can let it fill in the rest of the spots for you or choose your favorite players from the MLB Player Lab.

This season, new with our MLB Subscription Package we offer Daily Fantasy Graphs. We wanted to create a tool that gives users the ability to visualize data points for Hitters and Pitchers by showing DFS salaries/fantasy points over time. If any of you come from the world of Stocks or Equities Trading, you will immediately understand the usefulness of these charts. Just as price and volume are essential in understanding a stocks movement, points and salary are core for DFS.



Colorado Rockies vs. Jared Weaver (San Diego Padres)
Park – Coors Field

Same Jared Weaver, different uniform. Last time out for the Padres, Jared took the loss, allowing two homers through 5 IP while giving up 4 ER’s and 3 BB’s. As far as main slate pitchers go, he comes into today with all of the stats facing the wrong way: the highest xFIP (4.34), the lowest K/9 (5.2), the highest allowed wOBA .371, the highest allowed SLG .514, and the highest allowed OPS .863. Even though this stack will be super chalky, more often than not, this will end up a recipe for disaster in Coors field for Weaver.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Pomeranz (Boston RedSox)
Park – Fenway Park

Drew Pomeranz will be making his season debut tonight versus the Orioles in Fenway Park. Pomeranz, coming off of the disabled list was an unimpressive 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA at Fenway last year. With the wind blowing out at Fenway Park tonight and the Orioles with a solid ISO vs. lefties (.163), this could be a huge game for a couple of the Orioles; I’m looking at you Mark Trumbo. This game has the highest total (besides Coors Field) coming in at 9.5. Statistically, Pomeranz doesn’t do well in High/Home Scoring games, averaging just 8.21 Draftkings points per outing (over six games).

New York Mets vs. Buchholz (Philadelphia Phillies)
Park – Citizens Bank Park

Buchholz struggled big-time in his season opener vs. the REDS, having at least one runner in scoring position in the 4/5 innings that he pitched. Thanks to MLB Player Lab we can see that he is 2nd-worst in a couple of important statistical categories today: xFIP (4.29), K/9 (6). The Mets come into the game with a low 18.4% K-rate vs. righties, a .333 wOBA and a .166 ISO, giving them plenty of opportunities to reach base.

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Advice NBA 3/26/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our NBA lineup optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Tonight, we have two different main slates on each website (Fanduel & DraftKings) so we are going to be focusing on the Draftkings main slate which includes all games after 6 PM EST.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBA Playerlab right now.



PG
Damian Lillard @LAL – $9400 DraftKings
Projected Points – 42.27 DK
Lillard has been phenomenal lately, in his last five starts he has averaged 51.6 DraftKings points and was in the perfect lineup every time. Over the last ten games the Lakers have given up 58.2 DK points per game, more than any other NBA team. Portland is currently battling the Nuggets for the final playoff spot in the West so Lillard will bring his A-game. Tonight he will be a must play in every format.

Goran Dragic @BOS – $8000 DraftKings
Projected Points – 40.34 DK
Tonight Goran Dragic will be guarded by Isiah Thomas and you know what that means, right? Lights out! The last two times versus Isiah and the Celtics, the Dragon has averaged 53.62 DK points. He is always quite dependable with a floor of 30 and a ceiling that can climb into the high 50’s.



SG
CJ McCollum @LAL – $7400 DK
Projected Points – 38.16 DK
McCollum has always been consistently underrated. He gets minutes into the high 30’s night after night and has a floor of around 30 with a ceiling of 45. The Lakers / Portland matchup will be a tasty treat tonight in every format.

Gary Harris vs. NO – $6000 DK
Projected Points – 26.61 DK
Gary Harris is one of the top 5 best three-point shooters in the league, with a percentage of 43.2%. The problem is that Denver now has their normal starting squad back so that may cut into Harris’ usage rate. However, he has always been extremely efficient when he does shoot the ball and he should have more opportunities tonight in a fast-paced matchup versus the Pelicans.



SF
Paul George vs. PHIL – $8700 DK
Projected Points – 40.09 DK
The Pacers are currently battling over a tight race for a seed in the East; every game matters right now. Paul George, currently the "lone wolf" putting the Pacers on his back has had a couple of remarkably strong back-to-back outings. George also generally crushes the Sixers, scoring 45.4 DK Points in his last five appearances against them. As far as shooting forwards are concerned, you would be hard pressed to find a better one on tonight’s slate.

Tony Allen vs. – $3800 DK
Projected Points – 19.7 DK
Allen, for the price tag, will generally bring the value so that you can save the money to pay up for other positions. For whatever reason, he seems to up his game when he plays some of the best. The past three games versus the Warriors he has averaged 33.75 DK points. If you’re looking for the GPP value spot of the night, this could be it.



PF
Anthony Davis @DEN – $10000 DK
Projected Points – 52.75 DK
The last time the Nuggets played the Pelicans Anthony Davis went straight up ham on them fools, scoring a remarkable 94.25 DK points!
DeMarcus Cousins is a game time decision with an ankle injury, if he is indeed out Anthony Davis is a no-brainer.

Julius Randle vs. PORT – $7100 DK
Projected Points – 37.03 DK
I love this matchup tonight, for Julius Randle. Why? The Trailblazers struggle against opposing power forwards, giving up 54.3 DK points per outing in their last 5 games, that’s 2nd-worst in the league. Also, he’s in the middle of a heater, recently having one of his best all-around games of the season against the Timberwolves (23 points and 12 rebounds). Even though he can be inconsistent at times I think he’ll be a safe play tonight in both cash and GPP.



C
Al Horford vs. MIA – $6900 DK
Projected Points – 31.16 DK
Al Horford has been playing at peak-performance lately, averaging 42.4 DK points over the last five games. Mr. Dependable this March, Horford’s price tag seems way too cheap tonight. Horford should be considered in all formats tonight as he seems to play even better at home.

Jusuf Nurkic @LAL – $7700 DK
Projected Points – 39.09 DK
Coming into last nights matchup Nurkic had a double-double in three straight games. He missed his fourth straight by one rebound, and had he played a couple more minutes as was his previous average he would’ve probably made it. With an appetizing matchup against the Lakers, who in their last five have given up 65.6 DK points to opposing centers, Nurkic will be making his way into a few of my lineups tonight.

NBA Lineup Optimizer Picks for 03/24/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our NBA lineup optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBA Playerlab right now.



PG
John Wall vs. BKN – $10000 FD – $9600 DK
Projected Points – 48.78 FD – 51.92 DK
Wall vs. the worst Defense in the league? Yes, please! Brooklyn plays at the fastest pace in the league; logically you would start to say yourself, "Hey, this isn’t working that well," and then maybe try and slow things down a bit? But, it seems that the Nets play in an alternate universe. Even though this game is likely to end in a blowout, Wall will still find a way to put up his floor of 50 with a ceiling of 70 DraftKings points on the night.

Tyler Ulis @BOS – $6200 FD – $7100 DK
Projected Points – 35.54 FD – 37.56 DK
Tyler Ulis is the future of the Phoenix Suns, since moving up to the starting position he has been perfect in 3/5 contests, with a double-double in each of them. Over his last five, Ulis is averaging 13.6 points, 10.0 assists, 3.2 rebounds and 1.2 steals with a colossal 41.8 minutes. Ulis isn’t just the future of the Suns he IS the Suns.



SG
James Harden vs. NO – $12500 FD – $12200 DK
Projected Points – 55.98 FD – 60.81 DK
Harden has been more than impressive lately, averaging 76.7 DraftKings points in his last three outings. Last time out on March the 17th versus the Pelicans he had a massive 83 point game. As far as studs go, Wall and Harden will be my top plays of the day.

Tim Hardaway Jr. @MIL – $5800 FD – $6000 DK
Projected Points – 27.08 FD – 29.44 DK
Hardaway has been stellar while receiving extra minutes due to the absence of Bazemore and Millsap. In Wednesday night’s game, he was perfect hitting 44 DraftKings points versus the Wizards. Look for Hardaway to get minutes into the high 30’s again tonight, as the Hawks are out of reliable options.



SF
Jimmy Butler @vs PHIL – $9500 FD – $9200 DK
Projected Points – 47.82 FD – 49.92 DK
The Chicago Bulls are currently a game behind the Heat for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East. What does that mean for fantasy owners? It means The Bulls are going to be playing their hearts out. With Wade out and Rondo in, Butler’s fantasy game has even begun to improve. Last time out versus the Sixers Butler scored 55 DraftKings points, even though his salary has been bumped up a bit I believe that he is still undervalued.

Otto Porter vs. BKN – $5800 FD – $6100 DK
Projected Points – 30.99 FD – 32.43 DK
Even though Otto Porter has been in a mini-slump as of late, I like him tonight for a couple of reasons. Firstly, the last time out versus the Nets he scored 38.5 DraftKings points. The potential is there to come out of the slump and do some damage. Secondly, his ceiling makes him a nice GPP play. But, is this the night he bounces back? 8-ball says, "Outlook is good."



PF
Nikola Mirotic vs. PHIL – $4600 FD – $5400 DK
Projected Points – 24.27 FD – 26.51 DK
As mentioned previously, The Bulls are playing for the final playoff spot in the East. He is determined to finish the season strong, and with a season high of 28 points on Wednesday he is certainly on the right track. Though his salary has skyrocketed on DraftKings, on Fanduel it has remained low, making him an extremely viable option in all formats.

Marquese Chriss @BOS – $5000 FD – $5900 DK
Projected Points – 27.22 FD – 29.25 DK
Chriss has taken full advantage of his uptick in minutes due to TJ Warrens injury, going perfect in 3 out of his last 5 games and scoring a minimum of 30 DraftKings points in 4/5. Last time out versus the Celtics Chriss scored 29 DK points in 25 minutes. If he receives minutes into the mid-30’s tonight, I believe he is fully capable of having another 40+ FP night.



C
Dwight Howard @MIL – $7200 FD – $7300 DK
Projected Points – 38.53 FD – 42.07 DK
Even though Dwight Howard has been performing well, getting his fourth consecutive double-double, The Hawks are having a hard time winning after losing five straight. With plaguing injury problems to their starting lineup, the Hawks are going to have to find a way to start winning so that they can keep their No. 5 seed in the East. This is an important game to win as nipping at their heals are the Bucks to take over the five spot. Milwaukee isn’t great at defending the center position, over the course of the past five games they have given up 56 Draftkings points. Dwight Howard is in an optimal position to put the Hawks on his back and add some more 1’s in the W column.

Al Horford @BOS – $6800 FD – $6600 DK
Projected Points – 34.24 FD – 36.25 DK
Horford has been heating up lately, averaging 43.6 DraftKings points over his last five games. That’s over 6.5x value on DK. Of course all the heat is going to bring the bakers to the kitchen making him highly-owned in a lot of spots. But for a 50/50 cash on DK I think this is nearly a must-play.

NBA Lineup Optimizer Picks for 03/21/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our NBA lineup optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBA Playerlab right now.



PG
Ricky Rubio vs. SA – $7500 FD – $7300 DK
Projected Points – 33.62 FD – 37.07 DK
Rubio had been encouaged by his coach to shoot the ball more often. That’s music to the ears of DFS owners everywhere. In the past two games versus the Spurs, who Rubio hosts at home tonight, he has gone off averaging 48.38 Draftkings points while being perfect each time. His salary is a bit cheaper than where it should be; he should hit 6x value minimum tonight.

Tyler Ulis @MIA – $6400 FD – $7300 DK
Projected Points – 34.1 FD – 36 DK
With the huge price jump on Draftkings it might be best to roster him on Fanduel. However, in his last three games, Ulis has been perfectly hot, averaging over 40 Draftkings points and over 40 minutes per outing. It’s not a great matchup against the Heat away, but with the Suns seeming to rely heavily on him he should be a solid cash play.



SG
Klay Thompson @DAL – $7000 FD – $7000 DK
Projected Points – 33.82 FD – 36.92 DK
Klay Thompson looked spectacular versus the Thunder with 34 points and seven 3-pointers. Thompson should see a bump in minutes/usage due to Kevin Durant’s untimely injury. Four out of six times versus the Mavericks, Klay Thompson crushed the projections. Averaging 54.5 DK Points in those games while being in the perfect lineup each time. In the last five games, Dallas has given up the most points to shooting guards averaging 51.4 Draftkings points per outing. Look to roster Klay in every format tonight, especially GPP’s where he has tremendous upside.

Jimmy Butler @TOR – $8900 FD – $8900 DK
Projected Points – 42.64 FD – 44.74 DK
Butler, perfect in his last two games, is a top play of the night. He has been quick to carry the Bulls on his back while Wade is out for the remainder of the season. The time before last he crushed the Raptors hitting 70 Draftkings points. He has hit 45 fantasy points in three of his last four games and should be considered a top cash play on both sites.



SF
Harrison Barnes vs. GS – $5800 FD – $6300 DK
Projected Points – 28.14 FD – 29.78 DK
You never know when the Warriors are feeling furious enough to blow out a game, but if it stays close enough, Barnes will continue to see the minutes. The last two times in Golden State, Barnes hit 37 DraftKing points in each outing. If he gets there again, it will be a 6x value return on your money, a number that will win you some GPP’s.

Brandon Ingram vs. LAC – $4500 FD – $5000 DK
Projected Points – 22.87 FD – 25.1 DK
I’m not quite sure what alternate universe we are living in, but Brandon Ingram has suddenly become dependable. With a solid floor for the salary and a ceiling into the mid 30’s, Ingram has some value heading into a home court advantage versus their rivals, The Clippers. Last time out Ingram was perfect with 30.25 Draftkings points, with a minute increase over the last three games of ~8+ minutes I think that Ingram remains perfect again tonight.



PF
LeMarcus Aldridge @MIN – $7000 FD – $6700 DK
Projected Points – 31.89 FD – 33.05 DK
LeMarcus has been a little touch and go in February, due to injury concerns, but seems to be returning back to form. As long as he stays healthy, this could be a viable perfect lineup play. In the last two matchups versus the Timberwolves LeMarcus has scored 40.25 DK Fantasy points per outing.

James Johnson vs. PHX – $6400 FD – $6300 DK
Projected Points – 30.32 FD – 32.1 DK
James Johnson has crept his way back to fantasy relevancy. Over his last two games versus Minnesota & Portland, he has averaged 41.5 Draftkings points. He has shown a lot of improvement since seasons past, averaging career-high numbers in most categories. The Suns are nearing a league-worst over the past five games at defending Centers, giving up 65.1 Draftkings points per game. He will be worth rostering in any format on both websites tonight.

Sneaky Play: Gorgui Dieng



C
DeAndre Jordan @LAL – $7900 FD – $7000 DK
Projected Points – 36.91 FD – 39.77 DK
The Lakers against big men are in a word, pitiful. Over the course of the season, they have given up a shockingly bad 55 DraftKings points to opposing centers, 2nd-worst only to the 76ers. Last time out versus the lackluster Lakers, DeAndre scored 57.75 DK Points. If he sees the minutes, you can expect a close to perfect lineup performance.

Jusuf Nurkic vs. MIL – $6700 FD – $6900 DK
Projected Points – 32.99 FD – 37.76 DK
The Nurk Alert is in full effect as of late with his minutes increasing by ~11 over the last three games. In those three games, he has averaged 42.3 DraftKings points, just over 6x value. He has a high floor (~40) and insane ceiling, (remember the 81 DK point night versus the 76ers?). I quite like Nurkic in every format across every site tonight.

NBA Lineup Optimizer Picks for 03/18/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our NBA lineup optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBAPlayerlab right now.



PG
John Wall @CHI – $10400 FD – $9300 DK
Projected Points – 47.34 FD – 51.52 DK
Wall keeps getting better, but his price on Draftkings keeps coming down. At an $1100 discount, with his performances lately, how can you pass on such an opportunity? Even with the injury concerns, his career-high 20 assist performance over the Bulls was astonishing to watch. Wall comes in with a tough matchup against the Hornets, but at such a low price I think he is a near must-play on Draftkings tonight.

Mike Conley @CHI – $8200 FD – $7100 DK
Projected Points – 34.92 FD – 37.42 DK
What does Draftkings see here that I don’t? At yet another $1100 discount how can you say no to Conley? His last three performances have been perfect, eclipsing projections each time. The last three times he has matched up versus The Spurs it’s also the same story. With The Grizzlies in playoff contention, you can be sure that he will give it all he’s got in every performance night after night.



SG
Will Barton vs. HOU – $6600 FD – $6900 DK
Projected Points – 32.36 FD – 34.66 DK
Coming off of a career-high 35 points and perfect in his last two appearances, Barton is at the beginning of a mini-heater. With Gallinari and Wilson Chandler both out tonight, Barton will be a lock to get some significant minutes. I think he is worth rostering even with the huge price increase.

Gary Harris vs. HOU – $6000 FD – $5900 DK
Projected Points – 30.45 FD – 32.74 DK
Gary Harris another player with tremendous upside tonight. He is currently the most efficient shooting guard from the field shooting at an insanely impressive 49.2% clip. As mentioned previously, the Nuggets are short-handed tonight, so he’ll be seeing the minutes on the court.



SF
Trevor Ariza @DEN – $5200 FD – $5300 DK
Projected Points – 25.37 FD – 27.32 DK
This could be the mid-tier value play of the day as Ariza heats up towards the end of the season. Last time out versus The Nuggets Ariza was perfect, scoring 41.25 Draftkings points and 38.9 Fanduel points. Over the course of the last ten games, the Rockets are WORST in the league at guarding small forwards, giving up 56.3 Draftkings points to the position. This game has the potential to be a fantasy monster, as it holds a 240 point pre-game total.

Khris Middleton @GS Warriors – $6600 FD – $6500 DK
Projected Points – 28.21 FD – 30.52 DK
Middleton has played 30+ minutes nine out of his last ten games. Tonight against the Warriors, look for the Khris and Giannis to lead The Bucks offense vs. a lackluster Warriors defense who are performing at the second-fastest pace in the league. Middleton may be a bit chalky, but he also may be worth it.



PF
Nikola Mirotic vs. UTAH – $4300 FD – $4400 DK
Projected Points – 19.03 FD – 20.58 DK
With Dwayne Wade now out for the remainder of the season, Mirotic has taken full advantage of the opportunity in Chicago. He has been lights-out over the past three games averaging 17.6 points, 7.6 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.7 rebounds. Flaming-hot, you would be hard-pressed to find a player with more upside at the price-point that Mirotic is currently.

Marvin Williams vs. WASH – $6600 FD – $6500 DK
Projected Points – 28.24 FD – 30.21 DK
Last time out Marvin Wiliams disappointed fantasy players everywhere, which could also be a good thing for those that decide to take a shot on him today. Williams came into the game against The Pacers with five double-doubles in his past six games, but The Pacers were too much for the Hornets to handle that night. The Wizards are, literally, a totally different ball game. Marvin scored 35.5 Draftkings points in 29 minutes, and with Batum back, his usage rate may decrease slightly, but not enough to warrant not rostering him.



C
Mason Plumlee vs. HOU – $6000 FD – $6000 DK
Projected Points – 33.84 FD – 36.83 DK
Plumlee is one of the best deals on the market for center currently. I expect his salary to increase towards the $7k mark before too long. Take Mason Plumlee while he is still inexpensive enough to roster. In his last three games he has averaged 37.7 Draftkings points and 35 Fanduel points. They love him in Denver and will continue to get the minutes.

Robin Lopez vs. Utah – $4500 FD – $3600 DK
Projected Points – 19.92 FD – 20.79 DK
Robin Lopez turned into an animal last night versus the Wizards, making 75% of the shots he took for 46 Draftkings points. While I don’t expect him to reach that rate versus the Jazz, there is most certainly value here, especially on DK. The last two times out versus the Jazz he has played well, averaging 38.5 DK points. Expect his usage rate and minutes to increase with the recent injury to Wade.

NFL Jersey Sales By State

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Which NFL jerseys are most popular in each state? The map above released by Dick’s Sporting Goods tells us quite a bit.

Here in Bronco country, where every other advertisement is an NFL Madden spot with Von Miller at the helm, its no surprised that 5 states in the mountain time zone are all Von Miller fans.

But what else can we learn? Some pretty interesting stuff actually. For instance, would you believe that Luke Keuchly out-sells Cam Newton in Carolina?

Other interesting tidbits:

1) Odell Beckham Jr. is king of Nevada
2) Alaska loves Julio Jones
3) Gronkasaurus Rex holds down Maine
4) Cam Newton’s jersey is #1 in Utah… not the Carolinas
5) Drew Brees’ kingdom extends into Mississippi and Alabama

Some of these make sense, some don’t. But there is almost always clear regional bias. After all, Maine is just New England’s Hat.

And aside from the few outliers, the vast majority of states love their star QB’s, Receivers, and Running Backs.

This paints one of the fundamental pictures of why professional Fantasy Football players study this data. Understanding bias.

We are all biased creatures, and that is ok. But recognizing it and removing it is critical in the Daily Fantasy world. That is if you care about your hard-earned money.

Irrational regional and recency bias are some of the most powerful psychological tools a DFS player can employ. How many Atlanta fans are going to roster Julio every Sunday? How many times have you heard “So-and-So is the GOAT/WOAT/whatever”. Or one of my favorites: “I’m never using [Insert Name] ever again.”


Recency bias is crucial. After a poor performance, the swath of fish in DFS land start complaining that “So-and-So is a complete bum, washed out, worthless”.

I can’t tell you how excited this makes me.

As SOON as a player has a significantly bad game, my ears perk up. I’ll review the footage, the numbers, and try to make a cold and heartless decision. Was this performance due to bad luck? Bad calls? Is there a personal life issue at hand? Scandal, divorce, or major contract negotiations? I’m not sure if you have played sports before, but it can be a pretty damn tough mental game too. When things get into players heads, they forget how to throw the ball to first. Or catch a 6-yard pass. Or they start duck-hooking every single golf ball into the pond.

When I come across situations like this, I pay very close attention to the context of his performance and try to determine if it was a fluke or potentially a short period regression. Because at some point, maybe even soon, I’m a buyer.

And of course, if a poor performance was precipitated by a real injury, a slow arm-death, or some other ‘real and obvious’ factor- then yes I’ll avoid the player too. Knowing who to avoid is just as important as picking the low-owned-soon-to-be GOATs.

Let’s think about the opposite side of the coin for a second- if an average or below average player has a huge breakout game, recency bias comes into play again. Look at the context. Did he get more looks/targets/at-bats? (FYI, you can easily see this in NFL Player Lab under the column “Target Trends”) Did someone get benched/injured? Was there a personnel change that could set this player up for a huge uptick in performance? Or was it just a random 95-yard play?

In the end, we must determine who to avoid (and buy) by trying to enter the mind of the fish, but never becoming one. Watch the Twitterverse, forums, TV segments, etc. Try to visualize who everyone will be running towards or away from with their mad-cow disease fantasy sports mentality. Remember friends, buy low and sell high. Markets are irrational. Use regional, recency, and just plain naive biases to your favor, always. This is how DFS millionaires are made!

NBA Lineup Optimizer Picks for 03/15/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our NBA lineup optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBAPlayerlab right now.



PG
Mike Conley @CHI – $8000 FD – $7600 DK
Projected Points – 38.02 FD – 40.35 DK
Over the last five games the Chicago Bulls have been the worst in the league defending the point guard position, giving up 59.2 Fanduel points per outing. Last time the Bulls matched up against the Grizzlies Mike Conley went off for 48 Fanduel and 51 Draftkings points. He should be a trustworthy guy to have in all formats, with a floor of around 38 and a ceiling of 54.

Ricky Rubio @BOS – $7600 FD – $7400 DK
Projected Points – 34.27 FD – 37.79 DK
Tonight the point guard position is the one to pay up for, Rubio has been excellent in his last five matchups hitting an average of 43.4 Fanduel points while in the perfect lineup each time. If Isiah Thomas is covering him the majority of the time, we should see Rubio take full advantage of this matchup.



SG
James Harden vs. LAL – $12000 FD – $12600 DK
Projected Points – 55.98 FD – 62.57 DK
Harden against the Lakers, does it get anymore appetizing than that?
Harden currently ranks second with a 53.5 Fanduel points-per-game average. You’ll see Harden at the top of the leader board again tonight; it’s just a matter of finding the value in other spots as the slate tonight is filled with bigs that should perform as projected. If he doesn’t get pulled early because of a blowout, you can expect him to clip mid-60’s.

Devin Booker vs. SAC – $6600 FD – $6700 DK
Projected Points – 32.8 FD – 35.54 DK
Booker has been nothing short of spectacular lately. He comes into the game riding a hot-streak in his last two matches, averaging 41 Fanduel PPG. This coupled with the fact that The Kings are giving up a league-worst 52.2 Fanduel Points per game in their last five to shooting guards screams that this could be the value player of the night. Last time out in February Booker scored an impressive 43.4 Fanduel points versus Sacramento. I’m expecting big things from Booker here.



SF
Paul George vs. CHA – $8100 FD – $8300 DK
Projected Points – 38.1 FD – 41.34 DK
Last week versus the Hornets Paul George scored 50 Fanduel points versus them. Even though Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is great at defending others in the position, It seems that Paul George’s quickness is his kryptonite. He can go off in any single game and has been beating projections in four out of his last six. Look for him to get the minutes as the Pacers continue to fight for a playoff spot in the East.

Harrison Barnes vs. – $6000 FD – $6400 DK
Projected Points – 31.32 FD – 33.16 DK
Barnes has been fairly consistent over the course of the season averaging 30.7 Fanduel Points Per Game. After the AllStar break, he has begun heating back up a bit. Last time out versus the Wizards Barnes scored 42 FD / 44.25 Draftkings points. With the positive pace differential in the matchup, Barnes should have more opportunities to make a difference for the Mavericks.



PF
Marvin Williams @IND – $6500 FD – $6500 DK
Projected Points – 26.77 FD – 28.63 DK
The talk of the NBA, Marvin Williams, has been performing at an astonishing rate lately, hitting 8x value on most nights. Over the past four, he has been perfect, averaging 43 Fanduel points per outing. Sure, at some point he will begin to cool down. But for now, he is all systems go in every format.

Willie Cauley-Stein @PHO – $5500 FD – $5600 DK
Projected Points – 31.09 FD – 32.35 DK
Cauley-Stein for the price is looking pretty, pretty good. Since the Kings traded Cousins, we have seen his playing time and usage rate increase. Tonight, in what Vegas predicts to be the second highest total (220.5), this will be a faster-paced matchup where WCS should get plenty of rebounds. He is one of my favorites at this price point, and can be played in every format on both Fanduel and Draftkings.



C
Karl-Anthony Towns @BOS – $10800 FD – $10900 DK
Projected Points – 46.79 FD – 51.03 DK
If Harden finishes first in fantasy points for the night, I’m predicting that Towns finishes close to second. In his last two games he has averaged 57.5 Fanduel Points, both of which were double-double perfect lineup performances. The three times that he has played The Celtics in his career, he has always managed to blow past projections, averaging 53.3 Fanduel / 57.3 DraftKings points per game. He will continue to dominate tonight.

Alan Williams vs. SAC – $5600 FD – $6300 DK
Projected Points – 35.08 FD – 36.56 DK
Alan Williams has been hitting value consistently, with six double-doubles in seven of his last games. Tonight, he gets one of his best matchups versus The Kings who are trending towards the worst of the pack giving up 52.8 Fanduel points in their last five games. With a price difference of $700 he may be slightly a better play on Fanduel than Draftkings, but make no mistake about it a double-double could easily be in the cards for him tonight.

NBA Lineup Optimizer Picks for 03/13/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our NBA lineup optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBA Playerlab right now.



PG
Kemba Walker vs. CHI – $8400 FD – $8100 DK
Projected Points – 39.33 FD – DK 42.39
Kemba Walker is always a solid threat to put up the fantasy points, in his last seven games he has averaged 42.4 Fanduel points per game. He has a great matchup on his home court tonight as the Bulls have been abysmal lately versus point guards. In their last ten games the Bulls have let Point Guards score 54 Fanduel points against them. I like him on both Fanduel and Draftkings, but with the $300 discount on DK, you really can’t go wrong.

D’Angelo Russell @DEN – $6700 FD – $7700 DK
Projected Points – 38.31 FD – DK 41.00
I know that rostering the Lakers is something that you’re likely not used to, but there are a couple of reasons why you might do so tonight. Firstly, they are playing against the Denver Nuggets, who have allowed a season-worst 52.4 Fanduel Points against Point guards. Secondly, look at the price on Fanduel, you’re going to be hard pressed to find a better guy that screams value in tonight’s slate. He’s fully capable of hitting high 40’s tonight.



SG
Evan Fournier @SAC – $5500 FD – $5600 DK
Projected Points – 27.63 FD – DK 30.03
While lately Fournier hasn’t been the most consistent guy to play in your lineups, we have seen him go off in 2 our of his last 4 matches. While the last two games have been slightly cold for Evan, he did go 6x value per dollar against the Bulls and Knicks in the previous two. The Sacramento Kings have been horrible versus Shooting guards since trading Cousins, in their last 10 they have been giving up a league-worst 50.5 Fanduel points against. For a player at his salary level they value is most certainly there.

Gary Harris vs. LAL – $5600 FD – $5800 DK
Projected Points – 28.57 FD – DK 30.26
In his last few games Gary has been strong, averaging 18.5 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 1.8 steals. He has a solid matchup tonight at home against the Lakers, a team that he took full advantage of last time out. Hitting 31.8 Fanduel points, more than 6x value per dollar. Expect this to be a fast-paced game, something that Harris should take full advanatge of.



SF
Jimmy Butler @CHA – $8900 FD – $9300 DK
Projected Points – 42.98 FD – 44.88 DK
Butler comes into the game with the preveriberal team monkey on his back. He’s hot, he’s cold, from a fantasy perspective you’re not entirely sure which way he’ll go on what night. But, after the embarrassing performances versus the Rockets and Celtics, I think that you’ll see a comeback performance from Butler. The last time out against the Hornets, Butler put up a staggering season-best 81 Fanduel points. Without much in the way of defending Butler,, look for Jimmy to return to form.

Otto Porter @MIN – $6200 FD – $6400 DK
Projected Points – 27.44 FD – 28.83 DK
After a few positive words of encouragement from his coach, Scott Brooks, Porter seems to be returning back to form. Over his last three games, Otto has been in the perfect lineup each time while averaging 36 Fanduel points. Porter is a top candidate for Most Imporved Player this season and should be considered in every format tonight.



PF
Nikola Jokic vs. LAL – $10000 FD – $10400 DK
Projected Points – 46.44 FD – DK 48.48
Jokic should be highly-owned in every format tonight as he has been one of the best in the league during the second half of the season. In the last five games, the Lakers have been destroyed at the Power Forward position giving up 62.2 Fanduel points against per game. Even during blowout performances, somehow, someway he still manages to rack up the points. Last time out versus the Lakers he scored 52.5 Fanduel points in over 34 minutes, as long as it’s not a blowout look for his ceiling to go skyhigh.

Paul Millsap @SA – $7800 FD – $6900 DK
Projected Points – 36.58 FD – DK 38.81
Clearly the salary is quite mismatched as Draftkings do not see Millsap as having the value. To further matters, the Spurs best player, Kawhi Leonard is highly questionable dealing with a previous concussion. Millsap is the center of the Atlanta Hawks, nearly every possession you’ll see him shoot, pass, or assist in baskets. Last time out versus the Spurs, Millsap had an insanely impressive 52.1 Fanduel points. With a high floor, Millsap can be considered in all formats on both sites, however, he is a must play on Draftkings.



C
Marc Gasol vs. MIL – $7700 FD – $7300 DK
Projected Points – 37.03 FD – DK 39.13
Well, the good news about Gasol only playing 27 minutes versus the Atlanta Hawks is that he will be well-rested tonight. He has certainly seemed a little off since the All-Star break, but he has always been reliable for the price. Look for his floor to come in around 38 and his ceiling to climb to the high 40’s. The Bucks haven’t been great at defending Centers, in their last ten games they have given up 52.7 Fanduel points at the position.

Mason Plumlee vs. LAL – $5700 FD – $6100 DK
Projected Points – 22.63 FD – DK 23.45
If it seems like we’re highly owned on both sides of this game it’s because we are. I see Plumlee has having the highest upside out of anyone at the center position. Over the last two games he hasn’t quite been getting the minutes, but in this fast-paced, potential blowout game I can see them resting Jokic while Plumlee racks up the points and minutes.

NBA Lineup Optimizer Picks for 03/10/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our NBA lineup optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBA Playerlab right now.



PG
Kemba Walker vs. ORL – $8400 FD – $8100 DK
Projected Points – 41.2 FD – DK 43.85
Kemba comes into the game riding a pretty furicious hot-streak scoring at least 40 DraftKing points in each of his last six games.
Even though the matchup isn’t that great vs. the Magic, he is a more consistent shooter at home. I like the play best on Draftkings as his price is just a smidgen lower. He has an attainable floor of around 38 tonight with a ceiling of 55.

Yogi Ferrell vs. BKN – $5200 FD – $5200 DK
Projected Points – 24.39 FD – DK 26.4
Ferrell isn’t the most consistent player on the court. However, the matchup is there. The Nets have allowed a league-leading 52.8 points per game to point guards. This also could be a bit of a revenge game for him as he faces off against his former team. With the potential upside to go off for 40 fantasy points, I like this play on both Fanduel & Draftkings as a GPP play.



SG
Bradley Beal @SAC – $7600 FD – $7500 DK
Projected Points – 35.83 FD – DK 38.65
Beal has been lighting it up lately, averaging 26.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists over his last seven games. The Kings come into the game having allowed the most fantasy points against shooting guards. This makes for an attractive matchup as the last time out he scored 42.7 / 47.5 Fanduel/DraftKing Points versus them. I think he goes off against them again tonight making him a clear GPP play.

Klay Thompson @SAC – $6900 FD – $7000 DK
Projected Points – 32.94 FD – DK 35.74
Klay Thompson comes into the game off of a team-leading 25-point performance against the Celtics. He seems to do rather well against the Timberwolves, beating projections the last three times he has played them while averaging 35.7 FanDuel points. Tonight, look for him to be a key component to leading the Warriors to victory over the Wolves.



SF
Khris Middleton vs. IND – $6800 FD – $6600 DK
Projected Points – 32.09 FD – 34.21 DK
Middleton is riding high along with the Bucks 4-game winning streak. Though his salary has gone through the roof on Fanduel, taking a $1,100 bump, he still has a bit of value on Draftkings. The Indiana Pacers could be to blame for the salary hike as they have given up the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing small forward. His consistency may make him chalky, but I think he’ll be a fine play in both GPP/Cash game formats on Draftkings and a slightly riskier one on Fanduel.

Otto Porter @SAC – $5900 FD – $6100 DK
Projected Points – 29.33 FD – DK 31.05
Porter has been on a bit of a rocky road lately, but things have seemed to turn around for him against the Nuggets. With a match-up against the struggling Kings tonight, he could be an extremely sneaky play. While there is no doubt a high-risk factor here, as long as he gets the minutes the potential upside in GPP’s is most certainly there.



PF
Dirk Nowitzki vs. BKN – $6200 FD – $6100 DK
Projected Points – 29.89 FD – DK 31.67
After joining the 30,000 point club on Tuesday Dirk comes into the game with an elite matchup against the Brooklyn Nets. Nowitzki has always been a player with tremendous upside for GPP’s, and with his recent back-to-back performances of 40+ DraftKing points, his salary has yet to catch up with his shooting on the court.

Paul Millsap vs. TOR – $7900 FD – $7400 DK
Projected Points – 39.39 FD – DK 41.51
Millsap comes into the match having double-double’s in four of his last five games. I think he is the best higher priced power forward on the floor tonight. However, The Raptors have certainly gotten better at defending this position since Ibaka has come over. He’s been consistent over his last ten games with a floor of 38. I like him mostly as a cash game play on Draftkings, but he can be played in GPP as well.



C
Karl-Anthony Towns vs. GS – $10,600 FD – $10,600 DK
Projected Points – 46.11 FD – DK 50.37
There aren’t too many players that can come on the court night after night and put up the type of performances that Karl-Anthony Towns does. He has averaged 49.9 FanDuel points over his last eight games. With the recent KD injury, I don’t expect things to slow down against the Warriors as they have ranked dead last in rebounding ever since Durant went down. Look for him to take down another ~50+ fantasy point performance in tonight’s game.

Robin Lopez vs. HOU – $4800 FD – $4500 DK
Projected Points – 23.62 FD – DK 24.53
Lately, Lopez has reached 5x value by occurring double-figure scoring performances in 14 of his last 16 games. The Rockets have allowed 50.5 FanDuel points against centers this season, the third-most in the league. This bodes well for Lopez to continue attaining value leaving room for the bigger studs in your lineup.

NBA Lineup Optimizer Picks for 03/08/17

Uncategorized by Cory Hanley 0 Comments

James Leer

Welcome to another edition of Lineup Lab’s NBA Daily Fantasy article, where we feature our top plays for our NBA Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite players from the article below in our optimizer and hit calculate. Let it fill in the rest of the spots for you.

Find out why DFS Pros prefer the NBA over any sport. Get your subscription for our NBA optimizer and NBA Playerlab right now.



PG
John Wall @DEN – $10200 FD – $10700 DK
Projected Points – 50.04 FD – DK 52.93
If you’re looking for THE stud to pay up for look no further than the monster that is John Wall. Wall comes into this fast-paced matchup averaging 48.1 FD Pts in his last seven games. The Nuggets have given up a league-worst 48 FD Points per game to PG’s and his matchup against Jameer Nelson should allow him to control every aspect of this game for the Wizards.

Dennis Schroder vs. BKN – $6900 FD – $6700 DK
Projected Points – 31.67 FD – DK 34.03
Dwight Howard drama aside Schroder has been impressive lately, and with The Nets giving up 48 FD points per game to opposing point guards, I see Schroder as having too much value to pass on. In his last two games versus Brooklyn, Dennis has averaged 40.5 FD Pts. As long as the drama has come to pass and he sees the minutes, Schroder should continue to beat projections.



SG
Klay Thompson vs. BOS – $6700 FD – $7000 DK
Projected Points – 34.83 FD – DK 37.82
Klay Thompson has been struggling as of late, but look for him to get back on par as he returns home after a five-game road series across the East. Thompson is one of those shooters whose numbers drastically approve at home versus the road scoring 39.3 FPPG in his last five home games versus 24.8 FanDuel Points on the road.

Tim Hardaway Jr. vs. BKN – $5900 FD – $5700 DK
Projected Points – 28.08 FD – DK 30.23
Tim Hardaway Jr. has flown relatively under the radar, despite his uptick in minutes and his willingness to prove himself. In his last three games, all of which were perfect lineup worthy, he has averaged 34.3 FD Pts. As long as his minutes stay in the 30’s, which I don’t see changing with this matchup against the Nets, he will bring the value that you need to win GPP’s.


SF
Jimmy Butler @ORL – $9200 FD – $9200 DK
Projected Points – 49.11 FD – DK 51.17
Jimmy Butler’s usage rate spikes dramatically when Rondo/Wade are out of the game. This could be the case tonight as Rajon Rondo will be a game-time decision and Dwayne Wade is on the other side of doubtful. The Magic matchup should prove beneficial for Butler and you should see him take control of the game for the Bulls. He may be chalky nearly everywhere, but he is one of the "must-play" cash game studs of the night.

Khris Middleton vs. NYK – $5700 FD – $6600 DK
Projected Points – 32.17 FD – 34.3 DK
With Middleton against the Knicks, the price on Fanduel is just too appetizing to pass up. Ever since the lineup changes on the Bucks we’ve seen Middleton’s minutes increase as well as his efficiency. Khris is capable of hitting fantasy points high in the 30’s and low 40’s. My bold prediction of the night is that he scores at least 38 versus the Knicks. Lock this guy in most of your Fanduel lineups across the board.



PF
Paul Millsap vs. BKN – $7900 FD – $7700 DK
Projected Points – 38.7 FD – 40.95 DK
Paul Millsap comes into the game posting an average of 38.4 FD points in his last five, beating projections each time. If it’s starting to feel like I’m picking on the Brooklyn Nets, it’s probably because I am. The Nets have allowed an abysmal average of 45.3 FD points against power forwards this season.

Kristaps Porzingis @MIL – $6400 FD – $7100 DK
Projected Points – 36.72 FD – 37.28 DK
I know that he lately Porzingis has been all over the place, but tonight the value is there on Fanduel with a discounted rate of $700 versus Draftkings price. He is playing the Bucks, who since switching their lineup haven’t been able to stop big guys with versatile shooting skills. In the past, he has matched up well against the Bucks beating projections five out of six games.


C
Rudy Gobert @HOU – $7800 FD – $7600 DK
Projected Points – 36.84 FD – 40.1 DK
No doubt about it, Gobert has been on fire lately. With both of them being perfect lineup performances, he has averaged 50.5 Fanduel Points over the course of his last games. Should George Hill spend more time away from the court (highly likely), Gobert’s minutes/usage rate will continue to increase handily. Look for another 40+ fantasy point performance tonight.

Bismack Biyombo vs. CHI – $4600 FD – $5500 DK
Projected Points – 27.64 FD – 29.07 DK
Ever since Vucevic has been out, Biyombo has stepped up his game. Recording his second straight double-double against the Knicks, he comes into the matchup with an average of 32 Fanduel points over his last two. You can’t get better value than that at the Center position tonight.